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The Top Three Inconsistent QBs

If you want to avoid the pitfalls of inconsistency, read this article… and check out the SPECIAL OFFER at the end of it!

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Full disclosure: I love consistency. In my opinion, the ability to perform in a dependable manner is an undervalued skill– most fantasy football players never take consistency into account when drafting, and it usually ends up biting them in the butt during the season. So to help you avoid the pitfalls associated with inconsistency, read this article… and check out the SPECIAL OFFER at the end of it!

I wrote an article on this subject, but I decided to take a look at the subject from a different perspective: who are the least consistent players? Players that you wouldn’t necessarily think were inconsistent, but who actually had a very up-and-down season last year. Let’s focus on the field generals, the quarterbacks… I’m going to exclude the players who were injured during the season or rookies who were not Week 1 starters. Here’s the most inconsistent QBs who qualified for the NFL leaderboard (minimum 224 pass attempts):

Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks signal-caller is, without a doubt, one of the NFL’s elite quarterbacks: he’s already got a Super Bowl ring, is considered one of the game’s finest field generals, and can beat you with his arm or his legs. Yet many fantasy football players would be surprised to find out that he ranked 25th out of 45 qualifying QBs in terms of consistency– despite finishing the season as the fourth-best quarterback in terms of point production. This disparity between performance and consistency should tell you that Wilson was like riding a roller coaster in 2019: several horrible games (Weeks 1, 8, 16) mixed in with outstanding performances (Weeks 3, 5, 9). For us Nerds, this means his standard deviation was high– meaning that he was unlikely to hit anywhere near his average output in any given game.

Jared Goff, L.A. Rams

Jared Goff had a solid if unspectacular 2019 season for the Rams, finishing as the 13th best quarterback in terms of fantasy points. Looking at his Consistency Ranking (29th out of 45), however, tells me that fantasy owners had to suffer through a slew of horrible performances before a good one came along. Looking at the game logs, we see horrific lows (Weeks 1, 6, 11, 12) and amazing highs (Weeks 4, 5, 8, 13, 17) .

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

You read that correctly: Aaron Rodgers was the most inconsistent of the big-name quarterbacks in 2019. A solid QB1 over the course of the season (he ended up 10th in scoring), Rodgers was the 35th-most consistent QB. Put simply, you never knew which Rodgers would show up in any given week. Would it be the awesome Rodgers, like in Week 7 against the Raiders (25-31-429, 5 pass TD, 1 rush TD)? Or would it be the ready-for-the-scrap-heap Rodgers, like in Week 12 against the 49ers (2-33-104, 1 pass TD, 1 lost fumble)? If you were a Rodgers owner in 2019, you likely tore your hair out every week trying to decide whether or not to start him– and if Murphy’s Law held true, you almost always started him in the weeks he bombed.

Now, the SPECIAL OFFER!

If you’ve followed my fantasy football writing career, you’d know that I always give away some value-added analysis to my loyal readers (if you haven’t been following my career, now you know).

So I’m offering the full set of CONSISTENCY RANKINGS, for every offensive and defensive fantasy player from last season, for free to all the readers of this article.

I can hear you now: “Free? Is there some sort of catch?” Well, sort of. All I ask is that you help us here at Nerd Fantasy Sports by subscribing to our Youtube, Instagram and Twitter accounts. It’s 100% free to subscribe to social media, and doing so allows us to get you more information in as many different ways as possible. Let’s see if we can get 100 subscribers on each of the platforms!

Once you’ve done that, just send me a request for the Consistency Rankings and I’ll send you a spreadsheet with all rankings, for every position. You’re on the honor system!


Nerd John is a 25+year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John’s Fantasy Forecast series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he’s been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on nine occasions.

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