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DFS Bargain Plays: Week 11

If you’re looking for some “cheaper,” but still effective plays for your DFS lineup this coming Week 11 in the NFL, this is a must-read!

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Every week, when setting a DFS lineup (in this case on DraftKings where the below costs are taken from), managers rely on their studs to reward them and set the foundation to win money that week. But DraftKings sets budgets to limit managers on how many stars they can have. In order to succeed, while playing into DraftKings’ budgets, a manager must discover multiple sleepers week in and week out, who have the potential to break out and be week-winning players. There are three main aspects that factor into choosing bargain plays for managers’ lineups. The first is that player’s opportunity; when a bargain play has an opportunity it’s predicated on a player above them on the depth chart getting hurt or being limited, or that player has shown something to their coach and has earned a bigger role. The second is talent; even if a player has a decent opportunity, as a manager, if you don’t believe in the talent then you can’t be confident in that player. The third is match-up; bargain plays are the most appealing if that player has a favorable opponent. If they are playing a tough defense then it makes it tougher for them to break out that week.

Here are the bargain plays for week 11.

QUARTERBACKS

Alex Smith, Washington Football Team, $5,300
Who would have thought that a game between the Washington Football Team and Detroit Lions would be a shootout? Well, it happened, and Alex Smith was forced to throw the ball 55 times which equated to 390 yards. Usually, when a QB throws for 390 yards they have a huge fantasy day. However, Smith didn’t throw any Touchdowns, so it capped his fantasy output. I expect Smith to find the end zone with his throws in Week 11 against the Bengals, in a game that might have more offensive gold than expected. 

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles, $5,700
If you’ve started Wentz throughout the past few weeks I hope you wore a blindfold to protect your eyes from the screen. It’s been gross, to say the least. I guess Wentz isn’t a match-up based QB play, but more of a game script play. With a game against the Cleveland Browns, who are currently a wild card team, on the docket, this should make for a competitive battle. This is the type of game where Wentz shows up for his team and your fantasy lineup. It’s tough to trust Wentz after he’s hurt so many fantasy owners so many times in 2020, but restore your faith and lock him in. 

RUNNING BACKS

Kalen Ballage, Los Angeles Chargers, $5,600
There is a clear new number one running back in Los Angeles, and his name is Kalen Ballage. Fantasy managers have always been able to find fantasy gold in the Chargers’ backfield in the 21st century, no matter who is carrying the load. With the metaphorical weight of Adam Gase off of his shoulders, Ballage has shown just how talented he is. Even if he is not as talented as some of the other RBs you would like to trust in DFS, the opportunity outweighs the talent. He had 73% of RB snaps and had seven involvements in the red zone. With a revenge-game against Gase and the Jets coming up, I expect Ballage to bring his all and go off for fantasy teams. 

Rex Burkhead, New England Patriots, $4,600
The Patriots use a committee approach for the RB position. Damien Harris is the volume play, as he gets all the early-down work. However, Burkhead is the upside play, and when recommending bargain plays you want the boom, not the floor play. Burkhead has been targeted eight times over the last two games and receives more high values opportunities in the red zone. Therefore he has the floor of three to four catches a week and always has the chance to find the end zone. 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Denzel Mims, New York Jets, $3,300
The Jets have been hard to watch this season, but that doesn’t mean you should just count out all their offensive weapons. Denzel Mims was drafted to be a focal point of this offense, and this is the week where he breaks out, I’m calling it. Before the bye, Joe Flacco showed signs of his old self, distributing the ball all over the field. Fellow WR Breshad Perriman was the beneficiary of that against the Patriots, as he found teh end zone twice. But don’t overlook Mims who was on the field for 96 percent of snaps and actually out targeted Perriman. Either one of these guys has a shot at a good game in week 11, but I’m going to put my money on the rookie Mims to have his statement game. 

Jakobi Meyers, New England Patriots, $4,900
The Patriots offense hasn’t been very friendly to fantasy owners this season, but Jakobi Meyers has earned himself a 40% target share of Cam Newton’s passes. He has been a top 25 WR the last four weeks, and I don’t expect that to slow down. With all these good performances, his price should be on the rise soon, so make the best of it being under $5,000 still. In a match-up in the Houston dome, this should be a pretty competitive game and Meyers will have a prominent role if the Patriots want to return to a .500 record.  

TIGHT ENDS

Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns, $3,900
The Browns passing game was non-existent last week during a weather-impaired match-up with the Texans. Weather shouldn’t have as huge an effect this week as they travel to Philadelphia. In order to keep Baker Mayfield mistake-free, the Browns employ a multitude of short throws in the middle of the field. The majority of those will go to Austin Hooper. Additionally, the Eagles are the worst defense against TEs in the league, so that helps Hooper’s case. I expect a handsome amount of targets and a possible TD grab for the Browns TE. 

Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys, $3,600
The TE position has been utter trash this season if you don’t have Travis Kelce. Dalton Schultz has provided some alleviation from that misery on occasion, and he has the chance to do it again this week against Minnesota. With QB Andy Dalton set to make his return for the Cowboys in week 11, this offense could be headed in the right direction. Even if Schultz isn’t the first, or second read, if the Cowboys are going to be competitive against the Vikings Schultz will play a role, and have an opportunity to help your fantasy team. 

DEFENSE/ST

Philadelphia Eagles, $2,800
The Browns offense has really struggled to put up points and if there were ever a boom or bust defense, it’s the Eagles. They either dominate you as a unit or are a complete shadow of themselves like last week against the Giants. But in a must-win bounce-back game against the Cleveland Browns at the Linc, I expect the Eagles D to show up big. They will pressure Baker Mayfield and force multiple turnovers leading to a good game for the defense. 

Heisen is currently a journalism major at the University of Oregon and was part of the SemiPro Media team as a Co-Assistant Editor and Staff Writer. He has a passion for fantasy football and a knack for the analytical statistics behind football. Heisen roots for a football team that epitomizes choking: The Los Angeles Chargers.

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