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FANTASY FOOTBALL/DFS

Targeted Opportunities: Week 5

A blind spot in New England, showing us the Mooney, the autumn wind is a Raider again, and more– in this edition of Targeted Opportunities.

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Fantasy Football - Darnell Mooney

All roster figures as per NFL.com fantasy leagues.

Brandon Bolden , RB Patriots (0.1% rostered) – James White was the third-down back for the Patriots before getting hurt in Week 2, and was rostered on roughly 25% of teams on NFL.com. His replacement seems to be Bolden, who has hogged up all of the targets that went to White: White caught 12 of 14 targets in Weeks 1-2, while Bolden has reeled in 9 of 10 in Weeks 3-4. So I find it rather strange that Bolden isn’t also rostered on roughly 25% on NFL.com teams. Sounds like some sort of blind spot on the part of fantasy owners.

I think that beginning this week, Bolden will settle in to a 6-7 targets per game range, which should translate into a 10 point per game PPR floor. That’s not bad for a RB that’s on the waiver wire for literally 99.9% of all the teams on NFL.com.

Darnell Mooney, WR Bears (38.9% rostered) – Have the stars aligned for Mooney with QB Justin Fields under center? Granted, last week’s contest against the lowly Lions may have been anomaly– or it may have been the case that Mooney was properly utilized, with a strong-armed QB throwing him the ball on routes that were designed to get him downfield. Regardless of what you feel the cause of Mooney’s pop last week may have been, here’s something we call agree on: Mooney has been the Bears’ most-targeted receiver thus far, ahead of even Allen Robinson. If Mooney maintains his 6.5 target per game average– but is used as more of a deep threat, perhaps pushing his YPC to 16 (from its current 13)– that’d work out to 10-12 PPR points per game. Sounds like Mooney would be worth a roster stash, especially if you feel Fields has won the starting gig.

CHECK OUT ALL THE RECEIVER TARGET DATA FOR YOURSELF!

Henry Ruggs III, WR Raiders (48.9 % rostered) – Watching Ruggs play does my old Raider-loving heart good. Ruggs reminds me of the classic Al Davis WR: a speed demon whose job entails running the length of the field on every offensive snap, occasionally being asked to catch a pass. Ruggs is the classic home-run receiver: not too much thrown his way (25 targets in four games), a low catch rate (56%), high yards per catch (21.2) and scaring the crap out of opposing DBs. If your league gives bonuses for big plays, then Ruggs makes perfect sense as a waiver wire pickup.

Zach Ertz, TE Eagles (18.5% rostered) – I’ve written about the whole Eagles/Ertz situation in the past; no reason to re-hash it here. Suffice to say, it’s a surprise that Ertz is still on the Eagles; even more surprising, Ertz is getting the majority of targets (19) over Dallas Goedert (16). Both TEs have 13 receptions, although Goedert is ahead of Ertz in yards (188-153) and TDs (2-1). But whereas Goedert is rostered to the tune of 66.2%, Ertz is only rostered 18.5%– meaning you should be able to pick him up in your league as a TE2 or streaming option at a position that lacks much production.

Nerd John is a 25+year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John’s Fantasy Forecast series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he’s been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on nine occasions.

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