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FANTASY FOOTBALL/DFS

Targeted Opportunities – Week 6

Letting the genie out of the bottle, Linus’ blanket, growing into a relationship and spotting a sandlot star, all in this week’s Targeted Opportunities.

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Fantasy Football - Hunter Henry

All roster figures as per NFL.com fantasy leagues

Kadarius Toney, WR NYG (28.6% rostered) – Toney has been a human thrill ride thus far in his short NFL career, going from “Did the Giants make a horrible mistake?” in the preseason to “Why did it take Joe Judge and Jason Garrett five weeks to figure out this kid is the best receiver on the team?”. It may have taken Kenny Golladay, Darius Slayton, Sterling Shepard and Saquon Barkley getting hurt, but the Giants are finally throwing the ball in Toney’s direction. In his last two games, Toney has been targeted a total of 22 times for 16/267/0– after seeing just five targets in his first three games combined for a stat line of 5/14/0. Call Garrett and Judge dolts for waiting this long (and I have), but now that the genie has been let out of the bottle I don’t see Toney dropping back to WR4 when the rest of the Giants’ WR corps heals up. Amazingly, Toney is still available in roughly 3/4 of NFL leagues, so be smart and grab this kid now.

Jamison Crowder, WR NYJ (30.3% rostered) – Some receivers in the NFL are the equivalent of Linus’ blanket: always handy, always comforting, always with you no matter how many years go by. Crowder is one of those guys. After missing the first three games of the season Crowder has instantly become rookie QB Zach Wilson‘s top target, garnering 15 looks the past two games and producing an 11/85/1 stat line. Are those mind-blowing numbers? No, they’re not– yet. Crowder has typically been a PPR machine, and his performance the past two games with Wilson under center has done nothing to dissuade me of that fact. I look for Crowder to continue to be the rookie QB’s crutch as the Jets slog through another season. Projecting Crowder at his historical rates means 56/435/3 the rest of the way, or 10 PPR ppg.

CHECK OUT ALL THE RECEIVER TARGET DATA FOR YOURSELF!

Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR DET (5.1% rostered) – In an different column earlier this season, I compared the Detroit WR corps to a sandlot team. While that still the case, it’s important to remember that even sandlot teams have their go-to guy; for Jared Goff, that go-to wide receiver just might be St. Brown. While the rookie has amassed a total of 26 targets through five games, 16 of them have come in the last two games (eight in each) , to the tune of 13/135/0; even better for fantasy owners, St. Brown’s week 5/6 stat lines were incredibly consistent: 6 of 8 for 70 yards and 7 of 8 for 65 yards. With a 95% availability in NFL.com leagues, St. Brown might be worth a roster stash as a bet for continued targets as the season wears on.

Hunter Henry, TE NE (38.9% rostered) – With all rookie QBs, it’s important for fantasy owners to identify their security blanket. It might not always be the guy observers think it will be, and it takes live game action for the rook’s trusted hand to become apparent. For Zach Wilson, it seems to be veteran WR Jamison Crowder; for Patriots rookie Mac Jones, it appears that it might be Hunter Henry. Henry, part of New England’s off-season spending spree, has been coming on of late– not so much in terms of target share (which has hovered around 5.0 tpg) but in terms of finding the end zone. Henry has hit pay dirt in two consecutive games, and my feeling is that he’ll grow more and more into being Jones’ most trusted receiver. Don’t forget: Henry missed a decent chunk of the preseason, so he’s still learning to play with Jones, and vice-versa, so that connection should only get stronger as the season progresses.

Nerd John is a 25+year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John’s Fantasy Forecast series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he’s been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on nine occasions.

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