Welcome to On To The Next One, the weekly column where I select four players you should consider benching/starting this week. There will be two categories here: “The Rebounders” and “The Fumblers.” The Rebounders are two players that had a disappointing fantasy performance last week, but will rebound this upcoming week to produce better numbers. The Fumblers are two players that had fantastic performances last week, but they will not put up nearly the same amount of points on the board this upcoming week, and will fumble away the fantasy football glory they fleetingly had.
Last year, I ran the same formula and saw a success rate of almost 70 percent; success being defined as a player doing 50 percent better or worse the next week. If you have any of these players – PAY ATTENTION.
FPPG = Fantasy points per game
FP = Fantasy points
Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team
6.8 points (PPR) / 2.8 points (Non-PPR)
Currently sitting as WR18, McLaurin’s talents are not in doubt; however, the last two fantasy performances (8.6 FP and 6.8 FP, respectively) have put McLaurin owners on edge. It’s still too early to press any sort of panic button on McLaurin, though it may be time to consider looking at one if McLaurin flops hard again this week.
The Packers passing defense has been solid all year, however, with injuries to cornerback Kevin King, free safety Darnell Savage, and cornerback Jaire Alexander, that may change. In addition, Green Bay will likely score at will which will force Washington to throw to make up the points. McLaurin should be a big beneficiary of that. If he’s not, then something has to give.
Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
12.9 points (PPR) / 8.9 points (Non-PPR) per ESPN
Adams had an off-day against the Chicago Bears last week. Ironically enough, a “off-day” for Adams is catching four balls for 89 yards. Debatably the best wide receiver in the NFL, Adams is a constant WR1 play no matter who the Packers are playing. Last week’s down performance isn’t all that surprising as Aaron Rodgers only threw the ball 23 times; the lowest amount he’s thrown in a full game since Week 14 in 2016 in a 38-10 thrashing of the Seattle Seahawks. Green Bay will be hosting a Washington team that allows the most passing yards per game (309.5) and the second most FPPG to wide receivers (46.27). It’s about to get ugly for them. I wouldn’t be shocked if Adams drops a 40-bomb.
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins
29.0 points (PPR) / 19.0 points (Non-PPR)
The Alabama receiver more than enjoyed the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa as he snatched 10 catches for 70 yards (a career-high) and two touchdowns. However, this week will likely see Waddle produce drastically different numbers. For one, both Preston Williams and DeVante Parker were out last week, leaving Tua with limited places to give targets to. Parker will likely be back this week and Williams is trending upwards. In addition, Miami played an atrocious Jacksonville Jaguars that allow the second most passing yards per game (297.8) while they’ll be playing a Falcons defense this week that allows only 244.4; rank 14 in the NFL.
Khalil Herbert, RB, Chicago Bears
19.2 points (PPR) / 17.2 points (Non-PPR)
Herbert is going to be squashed, if not disintegrated, from relevance this week in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have allowed a mere 329 rushing yards this year, which averages out to about 54.8 yards per game. It’s honestly just that simple. If Herbert were Derrick Henry or Christian McCaffrey it would be different, but, he’s not.