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FANTASY FOOTBALL/DFS

Targeted Opportunities – Week 12

Same value at a lower price, a slow return to prominence and momentum plays, in this edition of Targeted Opportunities.

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Fantasy Football - Kendrick Bourne

All roster figures as per NFL.com fantasy leagues.


Kendrick Bourne, WR New England (15% rostered) – What’s interesting here isn’t so much about Bourne specifically, but the WR corps of the first-place New England Patriots (that’s not a typo). The most-rostered Patriots’ receiver is Jakobi Meyers (59%) whose production on the season stands at 54/523/1, or 10.2 PPR ppg. Compare that to the totals of Bourne (37/562/3 plus 78 yards rushing, 10.8 PPR ppg) and you might walk away with the realization that– if you were inclined to believe that QB Mac Jones is heating up as the post-season draws near– Bourne is going to be just as much the beneficiary of that run-up as Meyers.

Brandon Aiyuk, WR San Francisco (59% rostered) – One of the more baffling situations of the 2021 NFL season has been the lack of opportunities thrown in the direction of Aiyuk. Now don’t get me wrong: I’m not so silly as to suggest that Aiyuk should be getting the lion’s share of targets with the way Deebo Samuel has been playing, but there’s something almost conspiratorial about Aiyuk’s lack of targets. For the season, Aiyuk has been targeted less than half as often as Samuel (42 vs. 87), resulting in disappointing production (29/341/3, 8.1 PPR ppg). However, there may be signs of the improvement that I envisioned for Aiyuk back in Week 2; over his last three games, Aiyuk has put up 16/200/2 on 19 targets (84% catch rate) for 16 PPR ppg. Is Aiyuk’s slow return to prominence a permanent situation? That’s a fair question to ask, but unfortunately there’s only one person who knows the answer to that question: he stands on the sidelines calling plays, and he ain’t talkin’.

Gerald Everett, TE Seattle (21% rostered) – You might remember Gerald Everett from his time with the Rams; you might even be excused if you thought Everett had retired. Regardless, Everett has seen an uptick in action (and production) coinciding with the return of QB Russell Wilson. In the two games since Wilson has returned from his finger injury, Everett has been targeted 12 times, yielding 11/100/0 (92% catch rate) for 10.5 PPR ppg. Those 12 targets represent 41% of Everett’s seasonal target share, so if you believe in momentum or players ‘ heating up, you might want to give Everett a TE2 slot in what’s a very thin TE market.

Nerd John is a 25+year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John’s Fantasy Forecast series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he’s been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on nine occasions.

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